Probabilité implicite actuelle
LPV 45.1%-3.0ptEn tête parmi 14 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
68 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,6 k €
Liquidité
78,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+31.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
5 août 26, 11:47 UTC3 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Latvian Parliamentary Election Winner
PolymarketSweden Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketRussia Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
PolymarketSwedish Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
KalshiIsraeli Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place
KalshiBrazil 2026 Election: Brazil average gasoline price ≥ R$6.50/L on Oct 25, 2026 (Election Day 2nd round)?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the listed political party or coalition that wins the second-greatest number of seats in the Latvian Parliament (Saeima) in the next Latvian Parliamentary election.
- The named parties and coalitions will be primarily ranked by the number of seats won in the specified election.
- If two or more parties or coalitions are tied on seats, ties will be broken by the total number of valid votes received by each party or coalition, with higher vote totals ranking higher.
- If parties or coalitions remain tied, ties will be broken by alphabetical order of the listed party or coalition abbreviations.
- This market will resolve to the party or coalition that occupies the second finishing position after applying this ranking.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 606,3 M €
- Volume 24h
- 721 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio+1.0pt20%
- Tucker Carlson+0.1pt3%
+39 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt55.5%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+2.5pt42.6%
- Renan Santos-0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff16.5%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez15.5%
- Gavin Newsom13.6%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 411,2 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+4.0pt73%
- New People (NL)-2.5pt23%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.5pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen-1.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+1.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
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- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
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- South Carolina Senate winner?
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- Putin out as President of Russia by which date?
- Trump out as President by September 30?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place ?
- Polymarket cote LPV à 45% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place sera-t-il résolu ?
- Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place doit être résolu le 3 octobre 2026.
- Comment Latvian Parliamentary Election: 2nd Place est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Parliamentary elections are expected to be held in Latvia on October 3, 2026.