Ce marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
Résolu: 27 oct. 2026, 18:00
En attente d'une résolution vérifiée
CoinRithm attend un règlement confirmé par le fournisseur avant de traiter ce marché comme résolu.
Alerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 28 oct. 2026, 10:28 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Chronologie des Probabilités
30%+0%
35%+0%
20%+100%
25%+100%
20%+Gagné
25%+Gagné
30%+Perdu
35%+Perdu
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
GPT Astra 6.1+: HLE-Diamond Debut?
PolymarketNext Claude Opus Model (5.6+): HLE-Diamond Debut?
PolymarketKimi K3.1 Pro: Text Arena Rank Debut?
PolymarketKimi K3.1 Pro: Text Arena Debut?
PolymarketWhen will Moonshot AI publish Kimi K3.1 Pro's full weights on Hugging Face? (promised "by Nov 4")
Manifold MarketsWhich company has best AI model end of 2026?
PolymarketRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if the next Moonshot AI Kimi K3.1 Pro model added to the Humanity's Last Exam results at https://agi.safe.ai/ has an HLE-Diamond Accuracy of at least the specified percentage at 12:00 PM ET on the calendar date following the date on which it first appears on the site.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- A qualifying model must be Moonshot AI's Kimi K3.1 Pro (released October 23, 2026), including its Highspeed variant, listed under a name or model identifier that includes "Kimi" and "K3.1", regardless of capitalization, hyphenation, spacing, or surrounding prefixes, suffixes, or reasoning or effort labels.
- For example, Kimi K3.1 Pro, Kimi K3.1 Pro Highspeed, or kimi-k3.1-pro, including with a label such as "(Max)" or "(High)", would qualify, while other models, such as Kimi K3 (Max), Kimi K2.8 Preview, or any later Kimi version, will not qualify.
- The percentage displayed as "HLE-Diamond Accuracy" for the model in its result card on the "AI Progress on HLE-Diamond" chart at https://agi.safe.ai/ will be used to resolve this market.
- This market will resolve solely based on the HLE-Diamond Accuracy, regardless of the model's Calibration Error, chart position, other configuration scores, any note that a score was computed on a sample of questions, or any underlying granular or unrounded data presented elsewhere.
