Ce marché s'est résolu: 1.15–1.19ºC (100%)
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelle1.15–1.19ºC 100%+3.0ptEn tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche
24 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
2,2 k €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
- / 0.1%
Variation 7j
-4.7 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 jours
Obsolète26 mai 26, 23:3530 juin 26, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
1.10–1.14ºC0%
1.25–1.29ºC0%
<1.10ºC0%
>1.29ºC0%
1.20–1.24ºC0%
1.15–1.19ºC100%
100%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· 1.15–1.19ºC
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMeilleur global82% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 99% | — | 11 k € | 70,3 k € | il y a 10 jours | Ouvrir → |
 PolymarketCette page | Faible | 100% | — | 2,2 k € | 0 € | il y a 17 jours |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Jun 2026 temperature increase?
Fermés
Résolu
1.03 to 1.09 (99%)
+1.0pt91.7%
1.9%
+1.0pt1.9%
+3 résultats de plus
38 • Faible qualitéSpread inconnuLiquidité élevée
Volume total112,5 k €
Volume 24h11 k €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released.
- An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
- If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
- If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Grosses transactions
$1.2k99.7%POLYMARKETWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026? — NodevoteeOfBeshaba-18 j
POLYMARKETWill global temperature increase by between 1.20ºC and 1.24ºC in June 2026? — NodevoteeOfBeshaba-18 jTendance du volume
$2.5k3 juil.8j de données10 juil.
Marchés Associés
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
1,6 k €1.20–1.24ºC: 88%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Global Average Temperature July 2026 per LOTI v4 vs 1951-1980 base period (NASA Gistemp)
61,5 €July 2026 less than 1.095C: 0.3%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETS
Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
4,4 k €SpaceX: 87%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
2026 July 1st, 2nd, 3rd hottest on record?
3,3 k €1st hottest: 91%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?
340,8 €Oui: 33%KALSHI
KALSHIWill 2026 be the hottest year ever?
33,4 €Oui: 35%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
Alphabet’s $1 billion SpaceX gamble balloons into a $94 billion stakeCrypto NewsSpaceX stock sinks to post-IPO low after Starship launch abortCrypto NewsSpaceX slips below $140 despite FAA clearing Starship for launchCrypto News
FireSat Launches 3 Satellites to Boost Wildfire DetectionBlockchain.NewsRègles
This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for June 2026 when it is released.
- An anomaly within a named bracket for June 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for June 2026 is later revised.
- The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jun" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
- If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
- If no information for June 2026 is provided by NASA by August 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.