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  1. Marchés de Prédiction
  2. Space
  3. July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)
July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

July 2026 Temperature Increase (ºC)

2.0% (24h)SpaceDailyWeather1mo
PolymarketPolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de frais
Probabilité implicite actuelle
1.20–1.24ºC
1.20–1.24ºC 44%+2.5%
En tête parmi 6 options
Qualite du marche

24 / 100

Faible qualité
Volume 24h

0 €

Liquidité

224,1 €

Faible liquidité
Achat / Vente

5.0% / 74.0%

Spread

1380.0%

Spread large
Données du marché

Mis à jour il y a 1 minute

9 juin 26, 17:251 août 26, 3:59

Tendances

Résultat24hProbabilité

Résultat choisi

1.20–1.24ºC44%

Règles

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 when it is released.

Polymarket
  • An anomaly within a named bracket for July 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for July 2026 is later revised.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
  • If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
  • If no information for July 2026 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.

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Will 2026 be the hottest year ever?

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Will SpaceX (SPCX) close above its IPO price on July 31st?

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Actifs dans ces sujets

EthereumETH$1,646.76-0.47%BitcoinBTC$62,761.29+0.58%SolanaSOL$65.63+0.37%XRPXRP$1.11-1.33%BNBBNB$599.40+0.51%DogecoinDOGE$0.085+0.12%

Actualités Associées

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Règles

This market will resolve according to the value reported by the Global Land-Ocean Temperature Index for July 2026 when it is released.

Polymarket
  • An anomaly within a named bracket for July 2026 is necessary and sufficient to resolve this market immediately once the data becomes available, regardless of whether the figure for July 2026 is later revised.
  • The primary resolution source for this market will be the figure found in the table titled "GLOBAL Land-Ocean Temperature Index in 0.01 degrees Celsius" under the column "Jul" in the row "2026" (https://data.giss.nasa.gov/gistemp/tabledata_v4/GLB.Ts+dSST.txt).
  • If NASA’s “Global Temperature Index” is rendered permanently unavailable, other information from NASA may be used.
  • If no information for July 2026 is provided by NASA by September 1, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.