PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleJune 30 26%+2.0%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
89 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
24,5 k €
Liquidité
36,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
25.0% / 26.0%
Spread
4.0%
Spread modéréVariation 7j
+17.0%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
6 janv. 26, 16:5630 juin 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Résultat choisi
June 3026%
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Israel initiates a drone, missile, or air strike on Yemeni soil or any official Yemen embassy or consulate by the listed date, 11:59 PM Israeli local time.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- For the purposes of this market, a qualifying "strike" is defined as the use of aerial bombs, drones or missiles (including cruise or ballistic missiles) launched by Israeli military forces that impact Yemen ground territory or any official Yemen embassy or consulate (e.g., if a weapons depot on Yemen soil is hit by an Israeli missile, this market will resolve to "Yes").
- Missiles or drones that are intercepted and surface-to-air missile strikes will not be sufficient for a "Yes" resolution, regardless of whether they land on Yemen territory or cause damage.
- Actions such as artillery fire, small arms fire, FPV or ATGM strikes directly, ground incursions, naval shelling, cyberattacks, or other operations conducted by Israeli ground operatives will not qualify.
- The resolution source will be a consensus of credible reporting.