PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
10-11 27.4%-4.5ptEn tête parmi 5 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
61 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
224,3 €
Liquidité
17,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 10 minutes
4 sept. 26, 22:14 UTC27 oct. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
If Trump puts boots on the ground in Iran, will Dems win the Senate?
Manifold MarketsPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketIsrael Election: Zionist Home & Yashar Run on Same List?
PolymarketNetanyahu drops out of Israel election by which date?
PolymarketWill Benjamin Netanyahu remain the prime minister of Israel until the next election?
Manifold MarketsWhat will be the results of Israel's next election?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the number of seats won by The Democrats in the Israeli Knesset as a result of this election.
- If The Democrats contests this election as part of a joint candidate list with one or more parties, all seats won by the joint candidate list will be counted.
- If The Democrats merges with another party prior to the election, all seats won by the resultant merged party, or any joint candidate list through which it contests the election, will be counted.
- If the results of this election are not definitively known by October 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- This market's resolution will be based solely on the number of seats won by The Democrats in this election.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt25%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 697,7 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.2pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,2 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16%
- Gavin Newsom14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,4 M €
- Volume 24h
- 471,3 k €
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.5pt74.3%
- New People (NL)-3.8pt21.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-1.1pt3%
POLYMARKETNext French Presidential Election
- Marine Le Pen+0.3pt36.4%
- Édouard Philippe+2.0pt31.3%
- Jean-Luc Mélenchon-1.0pt12.1%
+38 résultats de plus
- US announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Democratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Russia Parliamentary Election Winner
- New Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- Prime Minister of Israel after the next election?
- South Carolina Senate winner?
- Friedrich Merz out as Chancellor of Germany before 2027?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Israel Election: Dems # of seats? ?
- Polymarket cote 10-11 à 27% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Israel Election: Dems # of seats? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Israel Election: Dems # of seats? doit être résolu le 27 octobre 2026.
- Comment Israel Election: Dems # of seats? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : Legislative elections are expected to be held in Israel on October 27, 2026.