PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché est fermé et en attente d'une résolution confirmée.
En attente d'une résolution vérifiée
CoinRithm attend un règlement confirmé par le fournisseur avant de traiter ce marché comme résolu.
Probabilité implicite actuelleJuly 15 100%+78.5%En tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
22,7 k €
Liquidité
0 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1%
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète7 juil. 26, 23:1531 juil. 26, 23:59
Chronologie des Probabilités
August 31100%
July 15100%
July 12100%
July 31100%
100%
100%
100%
100%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Grosses transactions
$1.2k81.5%Iran successfully targets shipping by August 31? — Yesbalthazarhier
$1.8k83.3%Iran successfully targets shipping by July 31? — YesLabubuBot9000hier
Tendance du volume
$25.8k8 juil.5j de données12 juil.
Marchés Associés
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Iran military action against a gulf state on...?
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KALSHI
KALSHI
Will a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4,6 k €Oui: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill the US reimpose a blockade on Iran by the end of July 2026?
917,9 €Oui: 51.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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This market will resolve to "Yes" if Iranian forces conduct a kinetic strike on or seize control of a commercial ship between market creation and the specified date, 11:59 PM IRST (UTC +3:30).
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Attacks on military vessels will not be considered.
- Only military actions by Iranian forces explicitly claimed by the Islamic Republic of Iran or confirmed to have originated from Iranian territory or been carried out by Iranian forces will count toward the resolution of this market.
- Attacks by proxy forces (i.e.
- Hezbollah, Houthis, etc.) will not count toward the resolution of this market.