PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleJuly 12 86%+78.5%En tête parmi 23 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
119,8 k €
Liquidité
361,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
82.0% / 89.0%
Spread
8.5%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 minutes
8 juil. 26, 22:2131 juil. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
July 1286%
Tendance du volume
$136.8k8 juil.5j de données12 juil.
Marchés Associés
Iran full airspace closure by...?
435,7 k €August 31: 36%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US announces blockade on Iran by...?
368,7 k €December 31: 57%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran Final Nuclear Deal by…?
207,4 k €December 31: 35%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
US-Iran nuclear deal?
77,9 k €Before September: 9%
KALSHI
KALSHI
When will the 2023 Israel Hamas war end? (Longer)
13,2 k €Jan - Jun 2024: 0%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSWill a missile, launched from Iran, hit London by the end of December 31st 2026?
4,6 k €Oui: 1.2%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
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This market will resolve to “Yes” if Iran takes a qualifying military action against a Gulf State on the specified date Arabia Standard Time (AST).
- Otherwise this market will resolve to “No.”
- Qualifying Gulf States are as follows: Bahrain, Kuwait, Oman, Qatar, Saudi Arabia, and the United Arab Emirates.
- A qualifying military action refers to an air strike or a surface-to-surface missile strike, initiated by Iran, that directly impacts a Gulf State.
- An air strike includes bombs, air-to-surface missiles, and air-launched drones.
- A surface-to-surface missile strike includes one-way attack drones over 50 kg in total weight and surface-to-surface missiles such as cruise or ballistic missiles.