How many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
1.5 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
48 68.9%+1.0ptEn tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
72 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
846,1 €
Liquidité
58,9 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+1.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
11 août 26, 14:18 UTC3 nov. 26, 00:00 UTC
Tendances
0%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsHow many House seats will the Democrats win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve according to the number of seats in the US House of Representatives won by the Democratic Party in California in the 2026 United States midterm election.
- All California US House of Representatives elections held as part of the 2026 United States midterm election that elect voting members and determine representation in the upcoming 120th congress are included.
- Special elections to fill a vacancy for the remainder of an unexpired term are not included, whether or not held concurrently with the 2026 United States midterm election.
- Runoffs for qualifying elections will determine attribution of the relevant seat.
- Seats are attributed to the party under which the member was elected.
- If a member-elect changes party affiliation or vacates their seat after the date of the 2026 United States midterm election, the seat is attributed to the party under which the member was elected.