KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
12 21.6%En tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
≤49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
18,9 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
1.6 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 3 minutes
1 févr. 26, 21:00 UTC3 janv. 27, 15:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms?
KalshiHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Pennsylvania?
PolymarketHow many House seats will Democrats hold after the Midterms? (Directional)
KalshiWhich Nevada U.S. House Seats will Democrats win in the 2026 midterms?
Manifold MarketsRègles
If the Democratic party has won the named outcome seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the State of Texas
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat.
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
- If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas? ?
- Kalshi cote 12 à 22% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas? doit être résolu le 3 janvier 2027.
- Comment How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Democratic party has won the named outcome seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in Texas, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Où How many House seats will Democrats win in Texas? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur Polymarket.