KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
48 64%En tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
45 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
32,6 €
Liquidité
6,4 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
6.0 pt
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 8 minutes
5 févr. 26, 00:00 UTC3 nov. 27, 14:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
How many House seats will Democrats win in Virginia?
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats win in Michigan?
KalshiHow many House seats will Democrats win in Arizona?
KalshiHow many House seats will the Democrats win in California?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Michigan?
PolymarketHow many House seats will the Democrats win in Arizona?
PolymarketRègles
If the Democratic party has won the named outcome seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:the State of California
- A seat is considered "won" when a candidate affiliated with the specified party has been declared elected by the relevant electoral authority and either the time for legal challenges has expired, challenges have been resolved, or the member has taken their seat.
- Party affiliation is determined by the party under whose banner the candidate was elected, regardless of subsequent changes.
- The count is determined when the new legislature takes their seats, even if some seats remain vacant or challenged.
- If the election is postponed beyond one year from the original date or cancelled entirely, the market resolves to the last fair market price.
- Only seats actually contested and filled are counted in partial elections.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour How many House seats will Democrats win in California? ?
- Kalshi cote 48 à 64% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand How many House seats will Democrats win in California? sera-t-il résolu ?
- How many House seats will Democrats win in California? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2027.
- Comment How many House seats will Democrats win in California? est-il réglé ?
- Kalshi règle ce marché comme suit : If the Democratic party has won the named outcome seats in 2026 U.S. House of Representatives elections in California, then the market resolves to Yes.