PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle0 27%En tête parmi 5 options
Qualite du marche
80 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
1,3 k €
Liquidité
27,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
26.0% / 28.0%
Spread
7.7%
Spread modéréVariation 7j
-9.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
16 juin 26, 19:5129 juil. 26, 15:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
027%
Comparer les plateformes· 2
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 KalshiMeilleur global92% de correspondance · auto | Élevée | 27% | 0pt | 5,7 k € | 47,9 k € | il y a 20 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| PolymarketCette page | Élevée | 26% | -1pt | 1,3 k € | 27,7 k € | il y a 20 minutes |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
How many dissenting votes at the July Fed meeting?
3j
+2.0%27%
26%
-2.0%24%
+2 résultats de plus
89 • Haute qualitéSpread modéréLiquidité élevéeAmbiguïté élevée
Volume total75,6 k €
Volume 24h5,7 k €
KALSHIRègles
The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026.
- The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
- This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
- This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$1.4k3 juil.24j de données26 juil.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
375 k €Fed maintains rate: 80%KALSHI
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Fed rate hike in 2026?
50,5 k €Oui: 72%POLYMARKET
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How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
45,7 k €0 (0: 85%POLYMARKET
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Number of rate cuts in 2026?
30,7 k €Exactly 4 cuts: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?
27,7 k €Volatility: 18%KALSHI
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Ecusfed 26 SEP
22,8 k €H 0: 42%ROTHERA
ROTHERAActifs dans ces sujets
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The July Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meeting is scheduled for July 28-29, 2026.
- The policy decision will be announced at 2:00 PM Eastern Time on July 29, followed by the Fed Chair’s press conference at around 2:30 PM ET.
- This market will resolve according to the number of dissenting votes recorded at the July Federal Open Market Committee monetary policy meeting, specifically those dissenting on the Fed Funds Rate decision.
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for July 28-29, 2026, according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
- This market may resolve as soon as the FOMC’s statement for their July meeting with relevant data is issued; however, a consensus of credible reporting will also be used.