KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleVolatility 18%+3.0%En tête parmi 43 options
Qualite du marche
89 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
27,7 k €
Liquidité
92,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
16.0% / 17.0%
Spread
6.3%
Spread modéréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
7 juil. 26, 22:3030 juil. 26, 14:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Volatility18%
Comparer les plateformes· Central Bank
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| KalshiCette pageMeilleur global | Élevée | 82% | 0pt | 27,7 k € | 92,7 k € | il y a 17 minutes | |
 Polymarket88% de correspondance · auto | Moyenne | 82% | 0pt | 8,6 k € | 122,4 k € | il y a 17 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
What will Kevin Warsh say during July Press Conference?
2.5%3j
+0.5%85%
82%
78%
+30 résultats de plus
73 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevée
Volume total55,7 k €
Volume 24h8,6 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Event does not qualify at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used.
- The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Please see full rules for more details.
- If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$31.5k8 juil.19j de données26 juil.
Marchés Associés
Fed decision in Jul 2026?
375 k €Fed maintains rate: 80%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed rate hike in 2026?
50,5 k €Oui: 72%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
45,7 k €0 (0: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Number of rate cuts in 2026?
30,7 k €Exactly 4 cuts: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
26,2 k €Above 4.00%: 1%KALSHI
KALSHI
Ecusfed 26 SEP
22,8 k €H 0: 42%ROTHERA
ROTHERAActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.NewsRègles
If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says Event does not qualify at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Video of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be primarily used to resolve the market; if a consensus by Kalshi employees cannot be reached using video, internal & external (official) transcripts of the Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A will be used.
- The exact phrase/word, or a plural or possessive form of the phrase/word, must be used.
- Grammatical/tense inflections are otherwise not included.
- Please see full rules for more details.
- If the Chair of the Federal Reserve says AI / Artificial Intelligence at his Jul 2026 post-FOMC meeting introductory remarks and Q+A, then the market resolves to Yes.