Probabilité implicite actuelle
Non 70%
Non 70%Qualité du marché
34 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
—
Liquidité
542,6 €
Faible liquiditéAchat / Vente
15.0% / 43.0%
Écart
28.0 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
2
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 27 minutes
9 sept. 26, 22:30 UTC10 oct. 26, 18:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Règles
The Socialist Party of France (Parti socialiste, PS) is holding a primary to select their nominee for the 2027 French presidential elections.
- The first round is scheduled to be held on October 9-10, 2026, and the second round on October 16-17, 2026.
- This market will resolve to "Yes" if a candidate wins the French Socialist primary outright in the first round, such that no second round is held.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No."
- A candidate wins outright if they receive more than 50% of the votes cast in the first round, or if the organizers of the primary otherwise declare them the winner of the primary without a second round being held.
- If the primary is cancelled, the first round does not take place, or the results thereof are not known definitively by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to "No".
