KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
38.6% 38.3%En tête parmi 9 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
38.6% 38.3%Qualité du marché
82 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
109,4 k €
Intérêt ouvert
87 k €
Intérêt ouvert élevéÉcart
1.0 pt
Spread serréDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 22 minutes
29 sept. 26, 14:01 UTC30 sept. 26, 16:59 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 30m (indicatif)
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
What will President Trump's RCP job approval rating be on Sept. 30?
PredictIt2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
KalshiUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
PolymarketWhich party will win the U.S. House?
KalshiPrime Minister of Israel after the next election?
PolymarketWhat companies will Trump say in September?
KalshiRègles
If Trump's RCP approval average is below 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:RealClearPolitics
- The value in the "Approve" column of the "RCP Average" row of the table titled "President Trump Job Approval" will be the sole resolution source for this event.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.6% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.7% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.8% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.
- If Trump's RCP approval average is exactly 38.9% at exactly 1:00 PM ET on Sep 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.