PolymarketFerméVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréCe marché s'est résolu: No change (100%)
Données de résolution non vérifiées
Ce résultat est inféré ou n'est pas appuyé par des preuves de règlement de niveau fournisseur.
Probabilité implicite actuelleNo change 100%+0.2ptEn tête parmi 4 options
Qualite du marche
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
33,3 M €
Liquidité
15,1 M €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
99.9% / 100.0%
Spread
0.1 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
+0.6 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 88 jours
Obsolète13 nov. 25, 0:4029 avr. 26, 0:00
Chronologie des Probabilités
No change100%
50+ bps decrease0%
decrease0%
increase0%
100%
0%
0%
0%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· No change
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Faible | 100% | — | 33,3 M € | 15,1 M € | il y a 88 jours | |
 Manifold Markets87% de correspondance · auto | — | 99% | — | — | — | il y a 88 jours | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Manifold Markets
Fed decision in April?
Fermés
Résolu
No change (99%)
99%
0.6%
0.3%
+1 résultats de plus
Prévision communautaire26 prévisionnistesType: multiple choice
MANIFOLD MARKETSRègles
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Fed Decision in July?
3,7 M €No change: 79%POLYMARKET
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Fed decision in Jul 2026?
922,2 k €Fed maintains rate: 80%
KALSHI
KALSHI
How many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
74,6 k €0 (0: 85%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike by which date?
51,9 k €October Meeting: 62%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
What will Kevin Warsh say during his July press conference?
37,8 k €Dissent: 28%KALSHI
KALSHI
Fed funds rate after Jul 2026 meeting?
35,7 k €Above 3.75%: 19%KALSHI
KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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Polymarket sees 92.5% odds of July Fed hold as crypto jumps on easing inflationBlockchain.News
Polymarket odds: Fed hold slips to 56.5% after softer CPI chatterBlockchain.NewsRègles
The FED interest rates are defined in this market by the upper bound of the target federal funds range.
- The decisions on the target federal fund range are made by the Federal Open Market Committee (FOMC) meetings.
- This market will resolve to the amount of basis points the upper bound of the target federal funds rate is changed by versus the level it was prior to the Federal Reserve's April 2026 meeting.
- If the target federal funds rate is changed to a level not expressed in the displayed options, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 and will resolve to the relevant bracket.
- (e.g. if there's a cut/increase of 12.5 bps it will be considered to be 25 bps)
- The resolution source for this market is the FOMC’s statement after its meeting scheduled for April 28-29, 2026 according to the official calendar: https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm.