Ce marché s'est résolu: No change (99%)
Résolu: 30 avr. 2026, 00:07
Résolution vérifiée par le fournisseur
CoinRithm dispose d'éléments du fournisseur pour le gagnant et l'heure de règlement de ce marché.
Résultat Gagnant
No change
À 7 jours
—
À 24 heures
—
Prévision communautaire actuelleNo change 99%En tête parmi 4 options
Prévisionnistes
26
Type de question
multiple choice
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 88 jours
Obsolète11 déc. 25, 9:0330 avr. 26, 23:59
Chronologie des Probabilités
50+ bps decrease0.6%
25 bps decrease0.3%
No change99%
25+ bps increase2.8%
0.6%
99%
0.1%
0.3%
Ce marché est clôturé. Le trading fictif n'est disponible que sur les marchés ouverts.
Comparer les plateformes· No change
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global87% de correspondance · auto | Faible | 100% | — | 33,3 M € | 15,1 M € | il y a 88 jours | Ouvrir → |
| Manifold MarketsCette page | — | 99% | — | — | — | il y a 88 jours |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
Fed decision in April?
0.1 ptsFermés
Résolu
No change (100%)
+0.2pt100%
0%
-0.1pt0%
+1 résultats de plus
49 • Faible qualitéSpread serréLiquidité élevée
Volume total211,4 M €
Volume 24h33,3 M €
POLYMARKETRègles
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the April 2026 FOMC meeting (April 28-29, 2026).
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the April 2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Actifs Sensibles au Macro
Marchés Associés
Fed Decision in July?
3,3 M €No change: 80%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike in 2026?
61,9 k €Oui: 67%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKET
Fed rate hike by which date?
44,3 k €October Meeting: 63%POLYMARKET
POLYMARKETWill the Fed change its 2% inflation target before the end of Trump’s term?
87,7 €Oui: 15.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many net Fed rate cuts in 2026?
51 €0 cuts (Target 3.50-3.75): 34.4%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSHow many Fed rate cuts in 2026?
43,8 €0 (0 bps): 82.8%MANIFOLD MARKETS
MANIFOLD MARKETSActifs dans ces sujets
Actualités Associées
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US inflation falls to 3.5% as Bitcoin rebounds toward $65KCrypto NewsRègles
This market resolves based on the change in the upper bound of the target federal funds rate from its level immediately before the April 2026 FOMC meeting (April 28-29, 2026).
- The outcome is determined by the net basis-point change announced in the official March FOMC statement.
- If the Fed changes the rate by an amount not matching a displayed option, the change will be rounded up to the nearest 25 bps for resolution (e.g., a 12.5 bps move is treated as 25 bps).
- Resolution Sources:
- The official FOMC statement for the April 2026 meeting:
- https://www.federalreserve.gov/monetarypolicy/fomccalendars.htm