PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
40-64 57.7%-2.0ptEn tête parmi 10 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
40-64 57.7%-2.0ptQualité du marché
83 / 100
Haute qualitéVolume 24h
29 k €
Liquidité
94,4 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
0.1 pt
Spread serréCommentaires
0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
1 oct. 26, 16:07 UTC5 oct. 26, 16:00 UTC
Tendances
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Polymarket
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Ordre minimum (parts):
- 5
- Pas de cotation:
- 1 points de pourcentage
- Frais:
- Oui
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Elon Musk # tweets October 1 - October 3, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 2 - October 9, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets October 6 - October 13, 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk # tweets in October 2026?
PolymarketElon Musk tweets "Manifold Markets" before 2027?
Manifold MarketsElon Musk net worth on December 31, 2026
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve according to the number of times Elon Musk (@elonmusk), posts on X from October 3 12:00 PM ET to October 5, 2026 12:00 PM ET.
- For the purposes of this market, only main feed posts, quote posts and reposts will count.
- Replies will NOT count towards the total - however, replies on the main feed such as https://x.com/elonmusk/status/1786073478711353576 will be counted by the tracker.
- Deleted posts will count as long as they remain available long enough to be captured by the tracker (~5 minutes).
- Community reposts which are not counted by the tracker not count toward the total.
- The resolution source for this market is the 'Post Counter' figure for posts found at https://xtracker.polymarket.com.