PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Texas 19%En tête parmi 16 options
Qualite du marche
67 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
180,9 €
Liquidité
130,7 k €
Liquidité élevéeSpread
1.0 pt
Spread serréComments
0
Variation 7j
-6.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 minutes
26 juin 26, 20:043 nov. 26, 23:59
Tendances
0%
Règles
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
- If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
Comparaison des sources de prévision
Référence CoinRithm Texas 17% · 3 plateformes · bande de 2 pt
Marchés ouverts
Politics
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff+1.0pt17.1%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez16.2%
- Gavin Newsom-2.0pt13.3%
+44 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 161,2 M €
- Volume 24h
- 682,5 k €
POLYMARKETDemocratic Presidential Nominee 2028
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+3.2pt21%
- Gavin Newsom15%
- Jon Ossoff+0.6pt15%
+125 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-1.0pt63.6%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+0.6pt33.3%
- Renan Santos-2.0pt3%
+29 résultats de plus
KALSHISouth Carolina Republican Senate special primary winner?
- Darline Graham-4.0pt60%
- Ralph Norman+4.0pt31.8%
- Pamela Evette0.9%
+8 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 11,9 M €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance+1.8pt22%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.4pt13%
- Marco Rubio-0.6pt11%
+125 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- Robert F. Kennedy Jr.49%
- J.D. Vance+0.1pt47%
- Marco Rubio-0.5pt21%
+125 résultats de plus
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Closest Senate Race? ?
- Polymarket cote Texas à 19% au 22 août 2026.
- Quand Closest Senate Race? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Closest Senate Race? doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Closest Senate Race? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- Où Closest Senate Race? est-il également listé ?
- La même question est également listée sur PredictIt, Kalshi.