PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisProbabilité implicite actuelleMaine 27%+4.0%En tête parmi 16 options
Qualite du marche
73 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
5,4 k €
Liquidité
68,3 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
7.0% / 8.0%
Spread
14.3%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-31.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 minutes
26 juin 26, 20:043 nov. 26, 23:59
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Maine27%
Référence CoinRithmTexas17%· 2 plateformes· ±7 pts
OhioMaineIowa
KALSHI
Également disponible sur Kalshi
Closest Senate race in 2026?
5mo
12%
10%
+1.0%13%
+12 résultats de plus
64 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevée
Volume total140,7 k €
Volume 24h2 k €
KALSHIRègles
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
- If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$6.2k6 juil.3j de données8 juil.
Marchés Associés
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Balance of Power: 2026 Midterms
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KALSHIActifs dans ces sujets
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The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the US Senate race which has the smallest margin of victory.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
- If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose last name comes first alphabetically.