PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Texas 13.8%+14.3ptEn tête parmi 18 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
40 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
34,9 €
Liquidité
104,6 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
32.2 pt
Spread largeCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-0.3 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 30 minutes
29 juin 26, 20:05 UTC1 nov. 26, 03:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Closest Governor race in 2026?
KalshiTexas Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsGeorgia Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold MarketsMassachusetts Governor's Race: Which party will win in 2026?
Manifold Markets2026 Texas Governor Race
Robinhood (Rothera)2026 California Governor Race
Robinhood (Rothera)Règles
The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the US gubernatorial race which has the smallest margin of victory.
- For the purpose of this market, the “margin of victory” is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first- and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- For elections that include runoffs, ranked-choice, or other multi-round elections, the relevant margin of victory will be that of the round in which the winner is determined.
- If two state margins of victory are identical, this market will resolve to the tied state whose name comes first alphabetically.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Flávio Bolsonaro+1.1pt60.4%
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-2.0pt38.6%
- Renan Santos+0.1pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 133,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 947,3 k €
POLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.1pt21%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez+0.3pt13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
KALSHI2026 Midterms: Congress Balance of Power?
- Democrats sweep+1.0pt59.8%
- D-House, R-Senate29.4%
- Republicans sweep+0.4pt9.8%
+1 résultats de plus
- Volume total
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Jon Ossoff17%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt15%
- Gavin Newsom+1.0pt14%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 194,6 M €
KALSHILos Angeles Mayor winner?
- Karen Bass-6.0pt56.4%
- Nithya Raman+7.0pt43.6%
- Volume total
- 28,9 M €
- Volume 24h
- 523,8 k €
KALSHIWhich party will win the U.S. House?
- Democratic Party-1.2pt90.1%
- Republican Party+0.4pt9.9%
- Volume total
- 30,1 M €
- Volume 24h
- 493,5 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Closest Governor's Race? ?
- Polymarket cote Texas à 13.8% au 22 septembre 2026.
- Quand Closest Governor's Race? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Closest Governor's Race? doit être résolu le 1 novembre 2026.
- Comment Closest Governor's Race? est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : The 2026 midterm elections are scheduled to be held on November 3, 2026.