Probabilité implicite actuelle
↑ 1510 100%+14.4ptEn tête parmi 9 options
Qualité du marché
62 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,5 k €
Liquidité
9,8 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
2.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
-5.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
2 janv. 26, 18:29 UTC1 janv. 27, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
100%
100%
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will any AI model reach ___ Overall Arena Score by September 30?
PolymarketWill any AI model reach ___ Math Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketWill any AI model reach ___ Coding Arena Score by December 31?
PolymarketGemini 3.5 Pro debut arena score
KalshiGPT 6 Astra debut arena score
KalshiGrok 4.7 debut arena score
KalshiRègles
This market will resolve to "Yes" if any model on the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/) reaches at least the specified Arena Score by December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM ET.
- Otherwise, this market will resolve to "No".
- Results from the 'Score' section on the 'Text Arena' Leaderboard tab (https://lmarena.ai/leaderboard/text), with the style control unchecked, will be used to resolve this market.
- The resolution source is the Chatbot Arena LLM Leaderboard (https://lmarena.ai/).
- If this source is temporarily unavailable, the market remains open until it is accessible again; if permanently unavailable, this market will resolve to "No".