PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleDemocratic Party 84%En tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
64 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
1,5 k €
Liquidité
38,2 k €
Liquidité élevéeAchat / Vente
13.0% / 15.0%
Spread
15.4%
Spread largeVariation 7j
-3.5%
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
28 janv. 26, 5:553 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Democratic Party84%
Comparer les plateformes· Democratic Party
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 84% | 0pt | 1,5 k € | 38,2 k € | il y a 5 minutes | |
 Kalshi60% de correspondance · vérifié | Moyenne | 88% | +4pt | 657,9 € | 3,6 k € | il y a 31 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
AZ-04 House winner?
3.0%1a
+3.0%15%
88%
52 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité moyenne
Volume total4,7 k €
Volume 24h657,9 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$1.7k10 juil.2j de données11 juil.
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-04 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.