PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Democratic Party 82.2%+4.0ptEn tête parmi 8 options
Qualite du marche
74 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,2 k €
Liquidité
14,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
82.0% / 83.0%
Spread
1.0 pt
Spread serréVariation 7j
+4.5 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 minutes
16 déc. 25, 16:454 nov. 26, 0:00
Tendances
0%
0%
0%
0%
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Democratic Party83%
Comparer les plateformes· Democratic Party
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PolymarketCette pageMeilleur global | Moyenne | 83% | — | 2,2 k € | 14,6 k € | il y a 20 minutes | |
 Kalshi60% de correspondance · vérifié | Moyenne | 83% | — | 8,5 € | 6,5 k € | il y a 20 minutes | Ouvrir → |
Également disponible sur Kalshi
AZ-06 House winner?
1.0 pts1a
79%
+1.0pt20.9%
53 • Qualité moyenneSpread modéréLiquidité moyenne
Volume total13,8 k €
Volume 24h8,5 €
KALSHIRègles
This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$2.5k2 juil.16j de données28 juil.
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This market will resolve according to the party of the candidate who wins the AZ-06 congressional district seat in the U.S.
- House of Representatives in the 2026 midterm elections.
- The midterm elections will take place on November 3, 2026.
- A candidate's party will be determined by their ballot-listed or otherwise identifiable affiliation with that party at the time all of the 2026 House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- A candidate without a ballot-listed affiliation to either the Democrat or Republican parties will be considered a member of one of these parties based on the party with which they most recently expressed their intent to caucus at the time all of the House elections are conclusively called by this market's resolution sources.
- This market will resolve based on the result of the election as indicated by a consensus of credible reporting.