KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requis2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesGrossièrement calibréProbabilité implicite actuelleRepublican party 15%+3.0%
Qualite du marche
52 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
657,9 €
Liquidité
3,6 k €
Liquidité moyenneAchat / Vente
12.0% / 15.0%
Spread
25.0%
Spread largeDonnées du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 minutes
7 janv. 26, 1:043 nov. 27, 15:00
Tendances
Fonds fictifs uniquement, aucun argent réelCeci n'est pas un conseil financier
Résultat choisi
Republican party15%
Comparer les plateformes· Democratic Party
Classé par qualité du marché, puis liquidité et volume sur 24 h| Plateforme | Qualité | Probabilité | vs référence | Vol 24h | Liq | Fraîcheur | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
 PolymarketMeilleur global60% de correspondance · vérifié | Moyenne | 84% | 0pt | 1,5 k € | 30,5 k € | il y a 2 minutes | Ouvrir → |
| KalshiCette page | Moyenne | 88% | +4pt | 657,9 € | 3,6 k € | il y a 17 minutes |
Également disponible sur Polymarket
AZ-04 House Election Winner
3.5%3mo
84%
-3.5%14%
0%
+5 résultats de plus
64 • Qualité moyenneSpread largeLiquidité élevée
Volume total17,4 k €
Volume 24h1,5 k €
POLYMARKETRègles
If the House member sworn in for AZ-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for AZ-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
Les probabilités peuvent varier en raison de structures de marché, frais et bassins de participants différents.
Tendance du volume
$7513 juil.2j de données10 juil.
Marchés Associés
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666,7 €Democratic party: 19%KALSHI
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656,7 €Zach Dembo: 36%KALSHI
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612,9 €Democratic party: 32%KALSHI
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If the House member sworn in for AZ-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Democratic Party, then the market resolves to Yes.
- This market is eligible for accelerated determination after a consensus of media organizations project the winner.
- See full rules for details.
- If the House member sworn in for AZ-04 for the term beginning in 2027 is a member of the Republican Party, then the market resolves to Yes.