Alaska Senate Election Margin of Victory (First Round)
1.5 pts (24h)PolitiqueOne-OffUS PoliticsÉlection1mois
PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
Peltola 0-3% 20%+1.5ptEn tête parmi 10 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
49 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
21,4 €
Liquidité
32 k €
Liquidité élevéeÉcart
4.0 pt
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0
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
17 sept. 26, 18:30 UTC3 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Manifold MarketsRègles
The first round of the 2026 Alaska Senate election is currently expected to be held on November 3, 2026.
- This market will resolve according to the margin of victory between the top two candidates in the first round of the specified election.
- The "margin of victory" is defined as the absolute difference between the percentages of valid votes received by the first-place and second-place candidates.
- Percentages of the valid votes received by each candidate will be determined by dividing the total number of valid votes each of the top two candidates receives by the sum of all valid votes cast in the election.
- The candidates named in this market are individual candidates appearing on the general election ballot.
- They do not represent party options, and this market will not resolve based on the party affiliation of any candidate.
