PolymarketVérifier la disponibilitéSans KYC2% de fraisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréProbabilité implicite actuelle
290K-305K 33%+24.5ptEn tête parmi 8 optionsAjusté de la marge : les cotes brutes dépassaient 100 % au total et ont été normalisées.
Qualité du marché
58 / 100
Qualité moyenneVolume 24h
2,2 k €
Liquidité
12,2 k €
Liquidité moyenneÉcart
4.0 pt
Spread modéréCommentaires
0
Variation 7j
+9.0 pts
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 7 minutes
18 août 26, 14:09 UTC3 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Mississippi Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PolymarketGeorgia Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PolymarketMaine Senate Election: Turnout (First Round)
PolymarketWill Dan Sullivan win re-election to Alaska's Senate seat in 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich party will win the 2026 Alaska Senate race?
Manifold MarketsWhat Party will win the 2026 Alaska Senate Election
Manifold MarketsRègles
This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.
- If the reported value falls exactly between two brackets, then this market will resolve to the higher range bracket.
- If the results of the specified election are not definitively known by March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET, this market will resolve to the lowest range bracket.
- All votes certified for candidates or non-candidate options in the specified election are included.
- Invalidated or blank votes are not included.
- In ranked-choice or preferential systems, the first-round vote total will be used.
Marchés ouverts
PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 691,8 k €
POLYMARKETBrazil Presidential Election
- Luiz Inácio Lula da Silva-6.0pt53%
- Flávio Bolsonaro+5.5pt45%
- Renan Santos-0.3pt1%
+16 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETWhich party will gain most seats in Russian Parliamentary Election?
- United Russia (ER)+5.0pt73.3%
- New People (NL)-2.7pt22.8%
- Liberal Democratic Party of Russia (LDPR)-0.9pt3%
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.2pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
KALSHI2028 Democratic presidential nominee
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez-1.0pt16.2%
- Jon Ossoff-2.0pt16.2%
- Gavin Newsom14.1%
+45 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 183,6 M €
KALSHINew Hampshire Democratic Senate nominee?
- Chris Pappas+1.3pt100%
- Karishma Manzur-1.8pt0%
- Jared Sullivan-0.2pt0%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
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- Which party will win the U.S. House?
- 2028 Republican presidential nominee
- Clarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
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- NH-01 Democratic nominee?
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) ?
- Polymarket cote 290K-305K à 33% au 9 septembre 2026.
- Quand Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) sera-t-il résolu ?
- Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) doit être résolu le 3 novembre 2026.
- Comment Alaska Senate Election: Turnout (First Round) est-il réglé ?
- Polymarket règle ce marché comme suit : This market will resolve according to the total number of valid votes cast in the first round of the general election 2026 midterm election for Senator from Alaska.