Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 65.4%
Prévisionnistes
7
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 6 minutes
21 mars 26, 00:10 UTC30 juin 30, 04:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
SMM APT tungsten price (SMM-WU-APT-001) on Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiWill I be able to purchase 1 kg of tungsten for under 150$ by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill China restrict exports of tungsten on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill I aquire over 1 metric ton of Tungsten by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Sangdong mine output exceed 20% of non-Chinese tungsten supply on April 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsCoeur Mining gold production in Q3
KalshiRègles
This market resolves YES if Zijin Mining Group (HK:2899) produced more than 2,000 tonnes of tungsten (measured as WO3 equivalent) in the 2029 calendar year, as reported in the company's annual results.
- What is being measured: Total tungsten output from all Zijin assets worldwide for the full calendar year 2029.
- As of March 2026, Zijin has zero tungsten production.
- A YES outcome requires Zijin to have announced, financed, and ramped a new tungsten asset within the next four years.
- Why this matters: Zijin's investment arm Gold Mountains ($6bn AUM) publicly stated in March 2026 it is looking to acquire tungsten assets via streaming or equity deals, driven by tungsten prices more than doubling after China imposed export curbs.
- This market tracks whether that intent translates into material production.
