Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 70.8%
Prévisionnistes
16
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète9 mars 26, 16:38 UTC31 déc. 28, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will I aquire over 1 metric ton of Tungsten by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill I be able to purchase a house robot by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill I be able to purchase a robot that folds my laundry for me by the end of 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill I be able to purchase internet with speeds of 500 Gbps in the NYC area by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsSMM APT tungsten price (SMM-WU-APT-001) on Oct 30, 2026?
KalshiUS gas prices this week
KalshiRègles
Update 2026-03-10 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): - Form of tungsten: Must be close to pure (concentration > 97%)
- Purchase method: Must be purchasable from a reputable online supplier (defined as having sold over 500kg of tungsten previously) and shipped to the creator's location.
- Purchase must occur before 2029; shipment can arrive later.
- Pricing: Nominal USD
- Resolution trigger: The creator must actually make the purchase.
- If a valid source is posted, the creator will likely buy within 48 hours of the post.
