KalshiVérifier la disponibilitéKYC requisDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréMilieu du carnet sélectionné
Above $40,000/tonne · —
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Prix enregistré
Above $40,000/tonne 39.5%En tête parmi 7 options
Above $40,000/tonne 39.5%Qualité du marché
37 / 100
Faible qualitéVolume 24h
3,9 k €
Intérêt ouvert
1,2 k $US
Intérêt ouvert faibleAchat / Vente
— / —
Above $40,000/tonneÉcart
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Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 minutes
21 sept. 26, 18:00 UTC30 oct. 26, 03:59 UTC
Le graphique et les variations affichent les probabilités historiques enregistrées, pas le carnet sélectionné en direct.
Tendances
Ligne sélectionnée : milieu du carnet. Autres lignes : références enregistrées, éventuellement normalisées ; les variations sur 24h utilisent l’historique enregistré.
Conditions de la plateforme
Source : Kalshi
Ces conditions sont indicatives ; les opérations simulées de CoinRithm suivent leurs propres règles.
- Clôture anticipée:
- Oui
- Délai de règlement:
- 24h (indicatif)
Profondeur du marché · Above $40,000/tonne
Chargement du carnet sélectionné…
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Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will China restrict exports of tungsten on December 31, 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill I be able to purchase 1 kg of tungsten for under 150$ by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWill Zijin produce 2,000+ tonnes of tungsten in FY2029?
Manifold MarketsWill I aquire over 1 metric ton of Tungsten by 2028?
Manifold MarketsWhat will WTI Crude Oil (WTI) hit in October 2026?
PolymarketWho wins the Senate pending oil below $85 before the midterms?
PolymarketRègles
If the daily average price of APT tungsten (SMM-WU-APT-001) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 5:00 PM ET on Oct 30, 2026 is above $60,000/tonne, then the market resolves to Yes.
Règlement via:Shanghai Metals Market - Ammonium Paratungstate
- This market resolves based on the daily average price of APT tungsten (SMM-WU-APT-001) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM). The governing value is the Average figure SMM publishes for the assessment dated 5:00 PM ET on Oct 30, 2026, which is the midpoint of SMM's assessed High and Low for that day; the High and Low do not themselves govern. The price is taken in USD per tonne exactly as published by SMM, with no conversion or adjustment by Kalshi. SMM publishes on Chinese business days; if no assessment is published for the specified date, the COMMODITIES rules on missing and delayed publications apply. Kalshi is not affiliated with Shanghai Metals Market.
Règles de chaque résultat
- Above $40,000/tonne
- If the daily average price of APT tungsten (SMM-WU-APT-001) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 5:00 PM ET on Oct 30, 2026 is above $40,000/tonne, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $50,000/tonne
- If the daily average price of APT tungsten (SMM-WU-APT-001) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 5:00 PM ET on Oct 30, 2026 is above $50,000/tonne, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $60,000/tonne
- If the daily average price of APT tungsten (SMM-WU-APT-001) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 5:00 PM ET on Oct 30, 2026 is above $60,000/tonne, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $70,000/tonne
- If the daily average price of APT tungsten (SMM-WU-APT-001) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 5:00 PM ET on Oct 30, 2026 is above $70,000/tonne, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $75,000/tonne
- If the daily average price of APT tungsten (SMM-WU-APT-001) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 5:00 PM ET on Oct 30, 2026 is above $75,000/tonne, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $65,000/tonne
- If the daily average price of APT tungsten (SMM-WU-APT-001) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 5:00 PM ET on Oct 30, 2026 is above $65,000/tonne, then the market resolves to Yes.
- Above $80,000/tonne
- If the daily average price of APT tungsten (SMM-WU-APT-001) as published by Shanghai Metals Market (SMM) at 5:00 PM ET on Oct 30, 2026 is above $80,000/tonne, then the market resolves to Yes.