Will "Why Did Elon Musk Just Offer to Buy Control o..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?

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Manifold Markets cote No à 87.3% au 30 octobre 2026.

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Will "Why Did Elon Musk Just Offer to Buy Control o..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review? doit être résolu le 1 février 2027.

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Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : As part of LessWrong's Annual Review, the community nominates, writes reviews, and votes on the most valuable posts.

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KALSHI

Best AI at the end of 2026?

• Gemini-2.7pt52.5%
• Claude+2.1pt37.1%
• ChatGPT+0.2pt7.4%

+5 résultats de plus

Volume total

14,6 M €

Volume 24h

136,1 k €

POLYMARKET

Which company has best AI model end of 2026?

• Google-4.5pt56.3%
• Anthropic+3.0pt35.4%
• OpenAI+0.1pt6.3%

+12 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?

• ↑$1.5T-1.6pt94%
• ↑$1.75T+5.0pt85%
• ↑$2.0T+1.0pt71%

+11 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap

• $1.75–$2.0T+1.0pt30.4%
• $2.0–$2.25T+0.1pt20.6%
• $1.5–$1.75T-3.5pt19.6%

+7 résultats de plus

POLYMARKET

Which company has the best AI model end of October?

• Google+0.9pt100%
• Alibaba0%
• Amazon0%

+18 résultats de plus

Volume total

POLYMARKET

OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap

• 1.5T+-4.8pt34%
• No IPO by December 31, 2027+0.4pt23%
• 1.25T–1.5T-0.5pt12%

+4 résultats de plus

• Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
• Anthropic IPO by which date?
• When will Gemini Carbon be released?
• Next Fable Model (5.2+) released by which date?
• GPT Astra 6.1+ released by which date?
• Anthropic IPO Date
• Google market share this week
• When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
• Gemini Carbon released on?
• OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
• OpenAI announces another Millennium Prize solution by which date?