Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 57%
Prévisionnistes
3
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète3 juin 26, 02:12 UTC3 juin 29, 02:11 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Eliezer Yudkowsky be mentioned or quoted in the White House briefing room within 5 years?
Manifold Markets(Musk Prediction) Will Optimus Be the World's Best Surgeon Within 3 years?
Manifold MarketsWill closed source software go extinct within 5 years (2029)?
Manifold MarketsBayeux Tapestry back in France by which date?
PolymarketMaine lobster landings in 2026
KalshiWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
KalshiRègles
Husband moved to the bay area for his dream job (@/eeeeee/in-hindsight-will-my-husband-moving ) and we flew back and forth on the weekends for ~10 months.
- The plan was originally that he would be down here for ~1 year but it became evident that he wants to stay in this job, in person, so I've now moved down here as well.
- I would really like to move back home to be back around our family and friends in , but my friends all think that I'm really going to love the culture in the bay.
- Husband also really loves the culture in the bay.
- I suspect the reason we'd move back is if his field is no longer so poppin or if we have kids and really want to be around our families for support.
Marchés ouverts
Society & CultureKALSHIMaine lobster landings in 2026
- Above 55 million pounds94%
- Above 70 million pounds65%
- Above 75 million pounds44%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 6,9 k €
- Volume 24h
- 6,2 k €
KALSHIWill California start laying high-speed rail track in 2026?
- Yes60%
- No40%
- Volume total
- 10,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,6 k €
KALSHIWho will be in the US News top 20 universities?
- Vanderbilt87%
- Rice84%
- UCLA79%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 15,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 431,2 €
POLYMARKETWill Clavicular wear a Yarmulke in 2026?
- No+0.5pt82.2%
- Yes-0.5pt17.8%
- Volume total
- 17,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 234,7 €
FORECASTEXWill UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $55,000 in 2026?
- No77%
- Yes23%
- Volume total
- 189,7 €
- Volume 24h
- 189,7 €
KALSHIUS test scores in Reading in 2026?
- Significant decrease+3.0pt60.4%
- No significant difference-11.0pt28.7%
- Significant increase+6.2pt10.9%
- Volume total
- 50,9 k €
- Which colleges will see their ranking drop this year?
- Harry Kane Knighted in 2026
- Will NJ Transit rail on-time performance reach 90% in November?
- Will UCLA out-of-state tuition exceed $53,000 in 2026?
- Is Earth flat?
- Will Clavicular kiss the Western Wall in 2026?
- US test scores in Math in 2026?
- Major news story in Sep 2026?
- Which celebrities will appear in mobile game advertisements this year?
- Hawaii total visitor arrivals in 2026
- Harry Styles and Zoë Kravitz: Marriage date
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour will we (husband + me) move back to our hometown within 3 years? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 57% au 15 septembre 2026.
- Quand will we (husband + me) move back to our hometown within 3 years? sera-t-il résolu ?
- will we (husband + me) move back to our hometown within 3 years? doit être résolu le 3 juin 2029.
- Comment will we (husband + me) move back to our hometown within 3 years? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Husband moved to the bay area for his dream job (@/eeeeee/in-hindsight-will-my-husband-moving ) and we flew back and forth on the weekends for ~10 months.