Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 53.4%
Prévisionnistes
148
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 17 heures
Obsolète27 févr. 23, 12:30 UTC1 janv. 28, 06:29 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will we have a [decent] end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWhich companies will release a Fully AI-generated multi-episode scripted series before 2027?
KalshiTop AI model in September?
KalshiBest AI at the end of 2026?
KalshiRègles
Script, animation, music, character avatars, character voices, what else?- all of which are AI generated.
- Doesn't have to be a single multimodal model, the humans can do the stitching then together work.
- Counts as series of there's atleast one coherent story line across multiple episodes. #episodes must be >=3.
- Same markets for different years: 2024, 2025, 2026, 2027:
- (https://manifold.markets/embed/firstuserhere/will-we-have-end-to-end-ai-generate?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)(https://manifold.markets/embed/firstuserhere/will-we-have-end-to-end-ai-generate-5927e7f2d735?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)(https://manifold.markets/embed/firstuserhere/will-we-have-end-to-end-ai-generate-12f2be941361?r=Zmlyc3R1c2VyaGVyZQ)(https://manifold.markets/embed/firstuserhere/will-we-have-end-to-end-ai-generate-3bc444228941)
Marchés ouverts
AI
POLYMARKETWill CMI declare a Millennium Prize Problem solved by which date?
- 2028+8.5pt56.5%
- 2027+3.0pt33.3%
- 2026+4.0pt10.2%
- Volume total
- 224,7 k €
- Volume 24h
- 160,5 k €
KALSHITop AI model in September?
- claude-fable-5.1-max+4.0pt73%
- claude-opus-5-high+2.0pt6%
- claude-opus-5-max+4.0pt5%
+3 résultats de plus
- Volume total
POLYMARKETAnthropic IPO by which date?
- December 31,+3.0pt90%
- December 15,86%
- November 30,85%
+7 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,3 M €
KALSHIBest AI in Sep 2026?
- Claude+3.0pt81.3%
- ChatGPT-2.0pt13.1%
- Gemini-3.0pt1.9%
+4 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 344,9 k €
KALSHIBest AI at the end of 2026?
- Claude+3.6pt62%
- ChatGPT-4.4pt22%
- Grok-0.2pt8%
+5 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 9,1 M €
POLYMARKETOpenAI’s Astra Model: Text Arena Debut?
- 1480+-7.5pt63%
- 1490+-9.0pt54%
- 1500+-1.0pt28%
+2 résultats de plus
- Largest IPO by market cap in 2026?
- When will Anthropic officially announce an IPO?
- Gemini 4.0 released by which date?
- OpenAI IPO Closing Market Cap
- Anthropic IPO Closing Market Cap
- Next Google Gemini Pro Model released by which date?
- When will OpenAI achieve AGI?
- Will Anthropic’s valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Will OpenAI's valuation hit __ by December 31?
- Best Chinese AI Company end of September?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027? ?
- Manifold Markets cote Yes à 53% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027? doit être résolu le 1 janvier 2028.
- Comment Will we have end to end AI generated anime series by the end of 2027? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Script, animation, music, character avatars, character voices, what else?- all of which are AI generated.