Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 68.6%
Prévisionnistes
29
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 minutes
3 févr. 24, 19:00 UTC1 mars 36, 22:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2033?
Manifold MarketsWill we get room temperature superconductors before 2035?
Manifold MarketsWill we get room temperature superconductors before 2032?
Manifold MarketsNear room-temperature Meissner effect in 2026?
KalshiWhen will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
KalshiWill WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
KalshiRègles
Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2036.
- Questions with the same criteria:
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-e940f30870be
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-ebfceb8eefc5
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-f41118c07313
- @/RemNi/will-we-get-room-temperature-superc-3ccf49dbe194
Marchés ouverts
Health & Medicine
POLYMARKETHantavirus pandemic in 2026?
- No97%
- Yes3%
- Volume total
- 15,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 11,6 k €
POLYMARKETNew pandemic in 2026?
- No-1.0pt93.1%
- Yes+1.0pt6.9%
- Volume total
- 921 k €
- Volume 24h
- 4,7 k €
POLYMARKETMeasles cases in U.S. in 2026?
- ↑3.5k100%
- ↑500+0.1pt100%
- ↑1k+0.1pt100%
+9 résultats de plus
KALSHIMedtronic cardiovascular growth in Q2
- Above 8%92%
- Above 9%81%
- Above 11%45%
+6 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 2,6 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,4 k €
KALSHIMeasles cases in 2026?
- Above 300099%
- Above 400097%
- Above 6000-1.0pt60%
+2 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 869,1 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,3 k €
KALSHIPandemic in 2026?
- No95%
- Yes5%
- Volume total
- 612,8 k €
- Volume 24h
- 1,1 k €
- When will Beam Therapeutics submit a BLA for Risto-cel?
- Cyclosporiasis cases reported in the US in 2026?
- Measles cases in U.S. by September 30?
- What will RFK say during RNC Midterm Convention?
- Will the FDA approve retatrutide?
- What will the average number of measles cases be during Trump's term?
- When will the FDA approve Intellia Therapeutics' lonvo-z?
- Will WHO declare Hantavirus a Public Health Emergency of International Concern this Year?
- When will Heidi Overton be confirmed as Commissioner of the FDA?
- How many West Nile neuroinvasive disease cases will be reported among New York City residents in 2026?
- Will the FDA approve cytisinicline for smoking cessation?
Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2036? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 69% au 10 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2036? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2036? doit être résolu le 1 mars 2036.
- Comment Will we get room temperature superconductors before 2036? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolves as YES if a superconductor at Room Temperature (RT) and Ambient Pressure (AP) has been discovered, synthesized and measured to be a superconductor before January 1st 2036.