Will Washington Initiative IL26-638 (girls' sports eligibility by sex) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
PolitiqueOne-OffPolitique américaineÉlectionSportSociété et culture23jManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 53%
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Mis à jour il y a 1 heure
En retard6 oct. 26, 06:53 UTC4 nov. 26, 12:00 UTC
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This market resolves YES if Washington Initiative IL26-638 (Initiative Measure No. IL26-638 concerns participation in athletics at K-12 schools.) is approved by voters at the November 3, 2026 general election under its official approval rule:
- Majority of votes cast on the measure, provided votes on it equal ≥1/3 of all votes cast at the election (Wash.
- II §1(d)); effective 30th day after election (2026-12-03).
- Votes cast on the measure must equal at least one-third of total votes cast at the election (Wash.
- Only the November 3, 2026 vote counts; earlier votes on similar proposals do not.
- YES means voter approval at this election, not that the measure is later implemented.
