Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.3%
Prévisionnistes
4
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 11 heures
Obsolète4 mai 26, 20:35 UTC31 mai 29, 23:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will OMIE Spain 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed €65/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill Vic NEM 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$115/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill Vic NEM 2027 annual average wholesale price exceed A$105/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill the annual average strength of the AMOC fall below 8 Sverdrups for any calendar year through 2030?
ForecastExPennsylvania annual-average manufacturing employment in 2026
KalshiWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves YES if the Western Australia South West Interconnected System (SWIS) Wholesale Electricity Market (WEM) time-weighted annual average wholesale price for calendar year 2028 exceeds A$150/MWh, as reported by AEMO on its WEM data dashboard and Quarterly Energy Dynamics WA section.
- Resolution evaluated once on the settlement date against the published figure.
- Settlement: 31 May 2029 — about five months after year-end, allowing AEMO time to publish confirmed calendar-year averages.
- Created: 2026-05-04
- The forward drivers, project schedules, and strike calibration below reflect public information available on the creation date.
- Coal-plant retirement dates, transmission and storage commissioning, gas-supply contracts, capacity auctions, and policy interventions in electricity markets have moved repeatedly in both directions over the past several years and are likely to continue moving.