Will the WA SWIS annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 90 AUD per MWh?
ChineCustom1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 74.7%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 20 heures
Obsolète4 mai 26, 20:35 UTC31 mai 28, 23:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if the Western Australia South West Interconnected System (SWIS) Wholesale Electricity Market (WEM) time-weighted annual average wholesale price for calendar year 2027 exceeds A$135/MWh, as reported by AEMO on its WEM data dashboard and Quarterly Energy Dynamics WA section.
- Resolution evaluated once on the settlement date against the published figure.
- Settlement: 31 May 2028 — about five months after year-end, allowing AEMO time to publish confirmed calendar-year averages.
- Created: 2026-05-04
- The forward drivers, project schedules, and strike calibration below reflect public information available on the creation date.
- Coal-plant retirement dates, transmission and storage commissioning, gas-supply contracts, capacity auctions, and policy interventions in electricity markets have moved repeatedly in both directions over the past several years and are likely to continue moving.
