Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 90.1%
Prévisionnistes
11
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 45 minutes
En retard4 mai 26, 20:35 UTC31 mai 28, 23:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Vic NEM 2028 annual average wholesale price exceed A$115/MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill the OMIE Spain annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 60 EUR per MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill the MISO Indiana annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 52 USD per MWh?
Manifold MarketsWill the WA SWIS annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 90 AUD per MWh?
Manifold MarketsChicken wing · Average US wholesale price in October
KalshiWill the annual average strength of the AMOC fall below 8 Sverdrups for any calendar year through 2030?
ForecastExRègles
Resolves YES if the Australian National Electricity Market (NEM) Victoria region time-weighted annual average wholesale spot price for calendar year 2027 exceeds A$105/MWh, as reported by AEMO in its Quarterly Energy Dynamics Q4 2027 release and the 2027 calendar-year summary on the AEMO data dashboard.
- Resolution evaluated once on the settlement date against the published figure.
- Settlement: 31 May 2028 — about five months after year-end, allowing AEMO time to publish confirmed calendar-year averages.
- Created: 2026-05-04
- The forward drivers, project schedules, and strike calibration below reflect public information available on the creation date.
- Coal-plant retirement dates, transmission and storage commissioning, gas-supply contracts, capacity auctions, and policy interventions in electricity markets have moved repeatedly in both directions over the past several years and are likely to continue moving.
