Will the OMIE Spain annual average wholesale electricity price for calendar year 2027 exceed 60 EUR per MWh?
Opérations sur titresCustomMétéoChine1a
Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleOui 55.2%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 15 heures
Obsolète4 mai 26, 20:35 UTC31 mai 28, 23:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
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KalshiRègles
Resolves YES if the OMIE (Iberian wholesale market) Spain day-ahead time-weighted annual average for calendar year 2027 exceeds €60/MWh, as reported by OMIE in its annual market summary and on the OMIE day-ahead price dashboard.
- Resolution evaluated once on the settlement date against the published figure.
- Settlement: 31 May 2028 — about five months after year-end, allowing OMIE and Red Eléctrica time to publish confirmed calendar-year averages.
- Created: 2026-05-04
- The forward drivers, project schedules, and strike calibration below reflect public information available on the creation date.
- Coal-plant retirement dates, transmission and storage commissioning, gas-supply contracts, capacity auctions, and policy interventions in electricity markets have moved repeatedly in both directions over the past several years and are likely to continue moving.
