Will U.S. Under Secretary of State Sarah B. Rogers leave her role by EOY 2026?
PolitiqueOne-OffUS Politics3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 68.5%
Prévisionnistes
8
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète22 août 26, 11:08 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Resolution criteria
- This market will resolve to YES if Sarah B. Rogers officially vacates, resigns, is dismissed, or is replaced in her role as the United States Under Secretary of State for Public Diplomacy and Public Affairs on or before December 31, 2026, at 11:59 PM ET.
- If she remains in office as of that deadline, the market will resolve to NO.
- Dual-Role Clarification: In March 2026, Rogers was nominated to concurrently serve as the Chief Executive Officer of the U.S. Agency for Global Media (USAGM).
- If she is confirmed to the USAGM position but retains her office as the Under Secretary of State for Public Diplomacy and Public Affairs, this does not qualify as leaving her role, and the market will resolve to NO (unless she subsequently vacates the State Department role before the deadline).
- Source of Truth: Resolution will be determined based on official announcements from the U.S. Department of State or reports from major, reputable news organizations (e.g., Reuters, Associated Press, The New York Times, or The Washington Post).
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will U.S. Under Secretary of State Sarah B. Rogers leave her role by EOY 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 69% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will U.S. Under Secretary of State Sarah B. Rogers leave her role by EOY 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will U.S. Under Secretary of State Sarah B. Rogers leave her role by EOY 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will U.S. Under Secretary of State Sarah B. Rogers leave her role by EOY 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria