Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.7%
Prévisionnistes
225
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 12 heures
Obsolète29 oct. 22, 04:57 UTC1 janv. 28, 04:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Règles
2023-02-15 Update: Resolves positively if, by the end of 2027, Twitter has incorporated prediction market services into their platform.
- Can resolve positively early if Twitter incorporates prediction market functionality ahead of the closing date.
- Events that make a positive resolution likely:
- Functionality is added such that, in addition to Tweets or alongside a Tweet, users or organizations can create public or private markets (using play or real currency) on questions about future events
- Twitter refers to a new capability as a "prediction market"
- A service of Twitter's looks and feels like Manifold / PredictIt / PolyMarket's UX