Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 97.7%
Prévisionnistes
21
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 45 minutes
En retard11 mai 25, 03:16 UTC20 janv. 29, 11:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump resign during his term?
KalshiWill Donald Trump resign as US President during his second term?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump resign by December 31, 2026?
PolymarketWill Trump resign before 2027?
PolymarketWill 5 Republican members of Congress call for Trump to resign before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsTexas Senate winner?
KalshiRègles
This resolves YES if Donald Trump resigns voluntarily at any point before his 2nd term ends.
- It will count as long as his removal from office is due to him stepping down early, even if it appears he's under significant political pressure to do so or if it is evident that he would be removed anyway.
- The only President who has ever resigned is Nixon.
