Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 89.8%
Prévisionnistes
72
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 13 heures
Obsolète21 nov. 24, 00:58 UTC28 janv. 29, 12:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Trump pardon Elon Musk in 2026?
PredictItWho will Trump pardon?
Kalshi[Add Answers] What people or groups will Trump pardon or commute the sentences of? (After 12/3/25)
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Luigi Mangione prior to Jan 20, 2029?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon Ghislaine Maxwell?
Manifold MarketsWill Trump pardon more people during his second term than any president during a single term in history?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Will resolve according to Wikipedia (will disregard obvious troll edits).
- Basically if Musk ever legitimately appears in that wikipedia list this resolves YES.
