Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 98.1%
Prévisionnistes
31
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 1 minute
13 nov. 26, 21:12 UTC16 nov. 26, 21:00 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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KalshiWhen will Brian Johnson be confirmed as CFPB Director?
Kalshi"I beat Bush" Epstein Email Sender confirmed as ___ ?
PolymarketWhen will Kari Lake be confirmed as Ambassador to Jamaica?
KalshiRègles
YES if, by November 16, 2026 at 1pm Pacific, the FAA, DOT, CISA or FBI confirms that a cyberattack materially enabled or carried out by AI caused the November 13 nationwide ground stop, or Reuters/AP reports that investigators reached that finding.
- Otherwise NO.
- An ordinary AI-system malfunction, speculation, or a cyberattack with no confirmed AI involvement does not count.