Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 72.7%
Prévisionnistes
10
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 9 heures
Obsolète20 janv. 26, 00:35 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Thomas Massie leave Congress before his term ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie say Trump should be impeached before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie endorse Ed Gallrein?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie win the Kentucky 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Thomas Massie win the Republican Nomination for US President in 2028?
ForecastExPresidential Election Winner 2028
PolymarketRègles
Will Resolve as Yes if Thomas Massie leaves the republican caucus in the house of representatives or otherwise leaves the Republican Party (if he declares it publicly)
Marchés ouverts
US PoliticsPOLYMARKETPresidential Election Winner 2028
- JD Vance-0.6pt24%
- Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez13%
- Jon Ossoff12%
+49 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 605,6 M €
- Volume 24h
- 693 k €
POLYMARKETRepublican Presidential Nominee 2028
- J.D. Vance50%
- Marco Rubio-0.1pt20%
- Tucker Carlson3%
+39 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 603,1 M €
POLYMARKET$LAPTOP FDV above ___ one day after launch?
- $10M+1.4pt96%
- $25M+2.0pt94%
- $50M+5.0pt90%
+4 résultats de plus
POLYMARKETUS announces end of Iranian blockade by which date?
- December 31-3.3pt48.3%
- October 31-2.0pt29.8%
- September 30-3.5pt12.3%
+17 résultats de plus
KALSHI2028 Republican presidential nominee
- J.D. Vance44.1%
- Marco Rubio20.6%
- Ron DeSantis4.9%
+35 résultats de plus
- Volume total
- 54,7 M €
- Volume 24h
- 266,9 k €
POLYMARKETClarity Act (H.R.3633) signed into law in 2026?
- No+2.0pt86%
- Yes-2.0pt14%
- Volume total
- 12,5 M €
- Volume 24h
- 248,7 k €
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will Thomas Massie leave the GOP by EOY 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 73% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will Thomas Massie leave the GOP by EOY 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will Thomas Massie leave the GOP by EOY 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will Thomas Massie leave the GOP by EOY 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Will Resolve as Yes if Thomas Massie leaves the republican caucus in the house of representatives or otherwise leaves the Republican Party (if he declares it publicly)