Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées obsolètes
Données au 29 oct. 2026, 13:40 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 99%
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binary
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Play-money forecasting platform
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Obsolète17 mai 26, 07:33 UTC31 déc. 26, 06:32 UTC
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Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Thomas Massie leave Congress before his term ends?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie say Trump should be impeached before the end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie leave the GOP by EOY 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill Thomas Massie win the Kentucky 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExWill Ed Gallrein underperform Trump?
Manifold MarketsWill Ed Gallrein win the Kentucky 4th District general election for the US House of Representatives in 2026?
ForecastExRègles
Resolves yes if Thomas Massie officially endorses Ed Gallrein.
- This must be supportive of his candidacy.
- Congratulating a primary victory doesn’t count.
- Resolves no if no endorsement by Novembers election day.
- Or resolves early to no if Massie wins the primary.
