Prévision communautaire actuelle
Oui 98.5%
Prévisionnistes
17
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 18 heures
Obsolète22 janv. 26, 00:01 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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Resolution criteria
- A general election will be held in Spain no later than Sunday, 22 August 2027, to elect the members of the 16th Cortes Generales.
- This market resolves YES if a national general election to elect a new prime minister occurs at any point during 2026.
- It resolves NO if no such election takes place in 2026 (with the scheduled 2027 election occurring instead).
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Spanish government or the Spanish Electoral Commission (Junta Electoral Central).
- The election must be a general election for the Congress of Deputies and Senate, not regional elections.