Prévision communautaire actuelle
Non 76.3%
Prévisionnistes
14
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète22 janv. 26, 00:01 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
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FutuurRègles
Resolution criteria
- A general election will be held in Spain no later than Sunday, 22 August 2027, to elect the members of the 16th Cortes Generales.
- This market resolves YES if a national general election to elect a new prime minister occurs at any point during 2026.
- It resolves NO if no such election takes place in 2026 (with the scheduled 2027 election occurring instead).
- Resolution will be determined by official announcements from the Spanish government or the Spanish Electoral Commission (Junta Electoral Central).
- The election must be a general election for the Congress of Deputies and Senate, not regional elections.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 76% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will there be national elections in Spain in 2026 to elect a new prime minister? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : Resolution criteria