Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréAlerte qualité des donnéesDonnées source dégradées
Données au 19 oct. 2026, 19:10 UTC · politique pm-quality-4
Prévision communautaire actuelleNon 69%
Prévisionnistes
20
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 5 heures
Obsolète27 mai 24, 08:41 UTC5 mars 40, 21:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will Gitmo or Cecot transition from concentration camps to full blown extermination camps by the 2028 US election?
Manifold MarketsWill the US accuse the PRC of putting Taiwanese people into Concentration Camps any time through 2028?
Manifold MarketsTaipei Mayor Election Winner
PolymarketWill China invade Taiwan by end of 2026?
PolymarketXi Jinping out before 2027?
PolymarketAI bubble burst by which date?
PolymarketRègles
Resolves as YES if credible reports confirm the existence of concentration camps in Taiwan before January 1, 2040.
- Criteria for Resolution:
- Definition of Concentration Camps: For the purposes of this market, concentration camps are defined as facilities where individuals are detained in large numbers without due process, often based on ethnicity, religion, political beliefs, or other discriminatory criteria, and where conditions involve deprivation of human rights, including forced labor, or physical and psychological abuse.
- Verification: The existence of concentration camps must be verified through credible international sources, such as reports from human rights organizations (e.g., Amnesty International, Human Rights Watch), reputable global news outlets (e.g., BBC, Reuters), or official statements from recognized international bodies like the United Nations.
- Background: The concept of concentration camps is associated with human rights abuses and violations of international law.
- This market seeks to evaluate the likelihood of such measures being implemented in Taiwan, a country with a complex geopolitical situation and significant tensions with the People's Republic of China.