Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026?
IAOne-Off3moisManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 74.6%
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27
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
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Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 2 heures
Obsolète1 avr. 26, 07:52 UTC31 déc. 26, 23:59 UTC
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KalshiRègles
This description was generated by AI.
- Resolution criteria
- This market resolves YES if there is a credible, documented incident in 2026 where an AI system loses control and directly causes over $100 million in damages. "Loss of control" means the AI system operates in ways not intended by its developers, evades human oversight, or behaves autonomously in harmful ways.
- Damages must be quantifiable and directly attributable to the AI system's uncontrolled behaviour—including financial losses, property damage, infrastructure damage, or economic harm from market disruptions.
- Resolution sources include: official incident databases (AI Incident Database, MIT AI Incident Tracker), regulatory filings, court documents, financial disclosures, and credible news reporting from major outlets.
- The incident must be publicly documented by December 31, 2026.
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Questions fréquentes
- Quelles sont les probabilités actuelles pour Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026? ?
- Manifold Markets cote No à 75% au 8 septembre 2026.
- Quand Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026? sera-t-il résolu ?
- Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026? doit être résolu le 31 décembre 2026.
- Comment Will there be an AI loss of control incident that causes over $100 million in damages in 2026? est-il réglé ?
- Manifold Markets règle ce marché comme suit : This description was generated by AI.