Will there be a US federal antitrust ruling against a 2025 frontier lab by the end of 2032?
IARégulationOne-OffTech6aManifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesBien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 60%
Prévisionnistes
5
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 4 heures
Obsolète1 déc. 25, 20:11 UTC31 déc. 32, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Règles
This market resolves YES if there is a US federal antitrust ruling against a frontier lab by the end of 2032.
- "US federal antitrust ruling" means a final verdict in a case where the central point of contention is antitrust behavior, issued by any duly appointed judge or panel of judges within the United States federal court system.
- Verdicts that get overturned on appeal will still count towards the resolution.
- Preliminary injunctions or intermediate rulings that are not final verdicts will not count towards the resolution criteria.
- "Against" means that the verdict concludes that the frontier lab in question has violated antitrust law to a punishable degree.
- "2025 frontier lab" is taken to mean any of the following:
