Manifold MarketsSans KYCDonnées de résolution vérifiéesAssez bien calibréPrévision communautaire actuelleNon 77.5%
Prévisionnistes
36
Type de question
binary
Méthodologie
Play-money forecasting platform
Type de source
Prévision
Données du marché
Mis à jour il y a 25 minutes
16 févr. 23, 12:37 UTC31 déc. 29, 23:59 UTC
Tendances
Marchés Associés
Questions liées pour le contexte, et non une comparaison de contrats équivalents.
Will the position of Prime Minister of Hungary have a term limit before April 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill an age limit be placed on the US House before 2030?
Manifold MarketsWill a major tech company publicly pause or limit AI development due to safety concerns before January 1, 2027?
Manifold MarketsWill Wisconsin Question 1 (limit on partial veto to raise taxes/fees) be approved in the November 3, 2026 election?
Manifold MarketsWill the UK Government establish a dedicated immigration enforcement agency similar to US ICE by end of 2026?
Manifold MarketsWill it be illegal to give a child an adult phone before 2036?
Manifold MarketsRègles
Germany still has no speed limit.
- But polls show a 55-60% preference for a speed limit.
- Will there be one before 2030?
